Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:29:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:30:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72.38
Unexplained QUAI: 105
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
177.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x00000c16496ac45336842B426110776ee2F48B0D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 177 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x00000c16496ac45336842B426110776ee2F48B0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
72.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00000c16496ac45336842B426110776ee2F48B0D
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000e02A8a3Ab2574FF453832C7AA85b4e7a384Ed
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
5,487.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:28:33 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
177.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:29:44 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
108.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:27:20 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
72.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:30:56 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
889.59 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:26:08 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
301.47 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:32:07 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
3,097.64 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:24:57 P.M.
+4 min
10 tx
494.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:33:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
36.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:29:42 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00000c16496ac45336842B426110776ee2F48B0D
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:29:42 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00000c16496ac45336842B426110776ee2F48B0D
Tx: 0x0012005b6356005afd4659adab4448f0889bc5aa2d2a9e1b3ddac92199204769
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:29:37 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x000e02A8a3Ab2574FF453832C7AA85b4e7a384Ed
Tx: 0x003400344a0f1b14414106ea81b1216e33d83715218fbf326bd31f63e7cd8c1b