Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:20:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
81% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,835.73
Unexplained QUAI: 658.09
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.8x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,493.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3494 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
2,812.43 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
Net receiver
Unknown type
583.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041C2951a908a3A0339BD9416291c8C2cc7181E
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00645a2113d37bE17A9a075b80aaf7d0Cf194798
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007974D1D51302ac2496d30F22dA6944F33003BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
3,493.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:20:09 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,980.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:18:57 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
8,146.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:21:21 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
10,165.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:17:46 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
23,396.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:16:34 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:22:33 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,391.52 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:23:45 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
604.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:15:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
583.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
544.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:57 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x006AAB166030f894509a75ec8b13973Eff78F00d
Tx: 0x0071007cbc6e624d989aedd794788887ccfe5721ede030f026f11a6e4265c0f2
23.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:48 P.M.
From: 0x0052F65C1Df925662cFCaC51Db91aD37dd8eea71
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a003c0f6754fef6abd0859baec759dd052c3be9666a2fd5ca7d4da3ba250c
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:48 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0041C2951a908a3A0339BD9416291c8C2cc7181E
Tx: 0x0060000981d5c86fbd24f118ac86c8110ac88beb4c99152c14ea765f4b804e95
583.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:27 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x002ED98FCef7B9fd2dA99ead7D55c80f2808fBc0
Tx: 0x007d006fc8ed27d302fbf9f5dd086d1b180236d34300de7303af9390d174bf2b
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:27 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00645a2113d37bE17A9a075b80aaf7d0Cf194798
Tx: 0x005a0040db2301216c092475d00ee5530e4632f50d627d0c41541493ebac50b1
561.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:27 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x007974D1D51302ac2496d30F22dA6944F33003BA
Tx: 0x007200654dbd59b6eb42af0d1a269d0bd0d078352def5cc5eea8fa8be6b81c2b