Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:16:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,728.66
Unexplained QUAI: 6,667.96
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
39x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
23,396.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 23397 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956 • 0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
16,728.66 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,094.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a78649F15EDd3235E01B9b02fab255001Fb4F
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,755.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007548f322c7a1670240D95F6BB91C3B9493Fb68
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,744 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067D619d2508ba5Ad8e1e64CA721a79D433cC5E
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,101.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
604.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:15:22 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
23,396.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:16:34 P.M.
-2 min
9 tx
357.58 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:14:10 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
10,165.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:17:46 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
15,557.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:12:58 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,980.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:18:57 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
15.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:11:46 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
3,493.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:20:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,094.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2,101.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:34 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0067D619d2508ba5Ad8e1e64CA721a79D433cC5E
Tx: 0x0037003efded24da8f8702eab87f4017e48b12afebb3922a68abc72cc1568c90
2,033.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:34 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3
Tx: 0x0016006678cbc461d6cabefeae1319455d12c2de8f30a1807dd5d48ce3ac8377
3,744 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:13 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x007548f322c7a1670240D95F6BB91C3B9493Fb68
Tx: 0x005b001bb65f5c54f7d9428bcaa572c0192f21a61b4bfcee4d7c7cdc51fd7b8a
5,094.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:06 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x004c98D5046343cAe9f30Cc317DDe02AdD52AAB8
Tx: 0x007d000ec340d88454b37120c970c3e7e259902404a91cd11f7e7500516f84f8
3,755.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:16:06 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x001a78649F15EDd3235E01B9b02fab255001Fb4F
Tx: 0x000500040e755ec6f9ebbd3bb5303c06af4fa4c1a10995a68b4cabd60fb53034