Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 568.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
357.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 358 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
387.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
Net sender
Unknown type
180.96 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
155.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
130.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d058f18D9d2633e892cebc9aDf9D8988997E2
Net sender
Unknown type
101.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 387.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
357.58 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:14:10 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
15,557.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:12:58 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
604.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:15:22 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
15.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:11:46 P.M.
-3 min
21 tx
854.42 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:10:34 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
23,396.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:16:34 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
10,165.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:17:46 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
2,902.09 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:09:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
155.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
155.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a00228248a68a5b2f55a4638f2de05044f5ea9a2164ce044f4fffb39cede0
130.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150062b4a3129e7a6fc798113b6a23f6957b4204a786e66eb5992d0a3f75d0
101.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007d058f18D9d2633e892cebc9aDf9D8988997E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001100194b54c4990ef94f824f8ce09ecb37db36dd8ce8e9b31f14b580afd355
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x000CA895268Ccd736B0Bcd64a8f2efAa478b464f
Tx: 0x004100469e4300f941aab2d9437c7805f64d1ff1a54518801a3bdd080431f696
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x007974DC7a0a1f31378E0842426E0da4cFa5b2ea
Tx: 0x0032003303667edad3f645bdc05282806f42011758454e70292ca2d65398fd39
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x00134c85dc225C877357d122fBB83FB9f2Cfb745
Tx: 0x00420042427ca9533a980fc46445cf9f7f7540aa3c912fccefbf823c28707d13
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x007bbEbA9802eC44Afe83109F3428Dcf4d81C7B9
Tx: 0x002100121997e02fc88233e69a79b465a5fcb6acb9c7ebafc8e03a123615ee2e
36.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x007F0d7Cf3d906297c88803895199267b61fB956
To: 0x0023B9aBEBeFb2ffd78524cAE65a7f87604eC415
Tx: 0x004a003205dc2d5471cfd2c573245a65f0c77da966b93c5aaddd16f1feabfe7c
