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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 7:10:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 7:10:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

99% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 4,336.27

Unexplained QUAI: 44.14

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume

Relative context

1.3x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

84.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

4,380.41 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000aD2e19690643D40a6F949f4EA2E4256d92912.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 4380 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000aD2e19690643D40a6F949f4EA2E4256d92912.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 27 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/21/2026, 7:10:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 27 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

Net sender

Unknown type

3,502.01 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000aD2e19690643D40a6F949f4EA2E4256d92912

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,502.01 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

806.2 QUAI across 24 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15

Net receiver

Unknown type

160.84 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52

Net receiver

Unknown type

126.27 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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27 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 32. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.