Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:41:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 84.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
84.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e • 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 84 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e • 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e
Balanced
Unknown type
84.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
Balanced
Unknown type
84.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
584.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:40:52 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,831.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:39:41 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
84.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:42:04 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:43:15 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
10,042.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:38:29 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:44:26 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
3,744.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:37:17 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:36:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
57.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:41:11 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
To: 0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
26.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:41:37 P.M.
From: 0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e
To: 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
Tx: 0x006a0064e7c0202daff7ab14121ece66c1f369ada6707bf0859213d605450f18
57.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:41:11 P.M.
From: 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
To: 0x00210b5b4a9a1906FD39C7A5C2Efd3175729181e
Tx: 0x0017005d70a7c4573cc33e76c3d2b0d6a14240d036083e57bcd12f539edb9fbc