Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:39:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:40:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 100
Unexplained QUAI: 10,731.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,831.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 10831 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
10,042.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:38:29 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,831.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:39:41 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
3,744.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:37:17 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
584.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:40:52 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:36:05 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
84.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:42:04 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
24.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:34:53 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:43:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:39:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:39:06 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x007d0033be67e5178ae4ec85d79bd4622ed40c73e9c7a573b7ba49b5864a0e04