Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:38:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,753.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
2.7x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
10,042.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10043 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 -> 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,747.48 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
Net sender
Unknown type
20,731.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
Balanced
Unknown type
22.61 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Net sender
Unknown type
6.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 → 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
2 repeated flows • 20,731.18 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
10,042.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:38:29 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
3,744.2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:37:17 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:36:05 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,831.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:39:41 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
24.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:34:53 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
584.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:40:52 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,598.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:33:41 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
84.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:42:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,731.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:38:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
10,731.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:38:51 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006f001eeaf46aa3407a995ad9cc024f0e7b0425332761322ff175f24614f16c
16.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:38:16 P.M.
From: 0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0051006dc3b1e8030285b609798e56b8b6e670d0b272bf261cc49d7c93371fe6
6.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:38:11 P.M.
From: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
To: 0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
Tx: 0x002b0065dbd8f305fddb23c59046fb1e03c64a3dc680b92c258d34b90e7b0db6
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:38:11 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d0070f95feeaf92470c64ef7f86b25cb3f6c0274e198a517c13a05cb7ae43