Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:31:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:32:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 931.75
Unexplained QUAI: 8,297.69
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
61x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
9,229.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857 • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9229 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857 • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857
Net receiver
Unknown type
590 QUAI across 2 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
490 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
341.75 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
Net sender
Unknown type
227.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
9,229.44 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:31:18 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:30:05 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:28:53 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
150.47 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:32:30 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
5,205.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:27:42 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
5,598.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:33:41 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:26:31 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
24.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:34:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
490 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:53 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857
Tx: 0x00740051a7f39a863ec53216e4466681e879f2a3d63ea88151c4f32e8b86ec07
31.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c004aca38dc40b54686f32535e5b429f81719c850ed5636f7625caac7a52c
12.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004600100df250b2eba135c58f3860d862d4eed3ccc7cd01ecc42db8beb73cef
490 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x002208ace3B70fc4dE08fa524A8daA9aA495f857
Tx: 0x006d0015373b886d27da3e209a5105f71749129b53cb363eec5b924148f732cb
227.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00670053e463ca5e80f80b1cb350fd41457b3a2cfda19bf2e93701204e226238
5.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0056005db476a05517004686adea2ec014db543b63d9b0b49f9ff283a3f1e5c2
4.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00180042e7ea1c8263e79185e037bcb3246d56c3146939b2fff66d676125522b
2.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001e007c8ba2d5abc79dcb55106b4f1ef401416452568e840d820065e8f6922b
50.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0031000317297d69987689dceae37d0d654d41fd492dc9c6a2a294b999668822
7.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:31:05 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a00554a9348655b4774f320fe6ba59dc23a3cf4c29400fc2be1422e6be5b6