Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 511.63
Unexplained QUAI: 779.26
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
2.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,290.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1291 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
511.63 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
299.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
111.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
100.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 511.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
535.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:13:23 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
1,290.89 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:14:34 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
372.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:12:11 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
511.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:15:46 P.M.
-3 min
17 tx
710.96 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:10:59 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
52.51 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:16:57 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:09:48 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
220 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:18:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
299.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:14:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
111.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290020ddf9a4e444ea3c4ffa3b720c8b38c8519da7658b39f8c10f9a88c0dd
100.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d007e88f46b91d0bc3d563981bd44ad5fc6888a02c3cea02018fc3e7ac91d
299.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:14:41 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a00153e15c360d84ffb495d9395f23a79c63a8d667faaf337638ec94924da