Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 5:08:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
47% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 441.36
Unexplained QUAI: 498.37
Explained QI: 697.17
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
8
14.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
939.73 QUAI
697.17 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 940 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
699.17 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
699.17 QI across 4 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
441.36 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
Net sender
Unknown type
116.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
113.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 697.17 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 441.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
9,688.27 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:07:34 P.M.
+1 min
55 tx
939.73 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:08:47 P.M.
-2 min
41 tx
10,602.24 QUAI • 55 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:06:22 P.M.
+2 min
27 tx
1,126.23 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:09:59 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
53,092.19 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:05:10 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
16.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:11:12 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:03:58 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:12:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
243.54 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:24 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
116.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
From: 0x00078c770dEf4806cC4B9e973275A221eF656B26
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00270078a0685522dc722806ed1dba94a91e834c0c83d55f4cbe7a3111ec8db9
110.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d00069dfebbaee41cf034ef745b7898dbbf68fdf21e9a6da55674b75c749b
101.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067007b4c6cbb64f4b3aaaba5b8f538305b2e581dde6421591e339c1717017d
113.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:54 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00027f01770dc777425dd1b1060986391d4b8e993a29ab2d7bdc494d6fd3
243.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00230053702ce9cf64ddb3ae530911318075930cf1b78377fa1b301ec2fd1bfd
226.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00690017108c4768d3d436f4eb74ccbd17d0f67028e220722f76fb75a06a4e6c
226.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0077007bfdce4c5c7199dc50ac8e98c6cc9a9e42a7cf6666ece8b9d573c866d4
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:08:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0019006242d956890e487f55ac5c435e2fbd7c8afdfa73e549955300843641ab