Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:53:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,007.63
Unexplained QUAI: 3,537.37
Explained QI: 276.64
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
6,545 QUAI
276.64 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1 • 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6545 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1 • 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,007.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net sender
Unknown type
2,607.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606Ee2fF3A26B20213906a41aa8CAfCB251237
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
276.64 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
276.64 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
6,545 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:53:11 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
14,231.86 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:52:00 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,007.63 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:54:23 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
717 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:50:47 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:49:35 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
15.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:55:35 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:56:47 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:48:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,607.63 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:53:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
276.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:53:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006d006612634f1e4cc1e4c37d6ac95a4a7428129baed2e98bbf02b2cec16ddc
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:53:44 P.M.
From: 0x00606Ee2fF3A26B20213906a41aa8CAfCB251237
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x000f00339d4050f8857aaae696a9fa5cab29df656a4f062491232eec6d399178
2,607.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:53:21 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x0001004f256070531af46493ff189fbece5416451b1d80ec81bdea337c16396b