Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:47:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,455.76
Unexplained QUAI: 7,695
Explained QI: 551.18
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
6.4x above local average
5.6x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
11,150.76 QUAI
551.18 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 11151 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net sender
Unknown type
3,455.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,455.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
551.18 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
551.18 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 551.18 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
11,150.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:47:05 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,000.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:45:54 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:48:17 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:44:42 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:43:30 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:49:35 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
717 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:50:47 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,455.76 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:47:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
274.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:47:50 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0000004bbe0220c9861e32d747f4d132803cc3aeb0d66a5799f8e051718169c5
276.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:47:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003d000ea4102d64af48aebff67fbe49695e861470b61bbf7467c7d3dedb3561
3,455.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:47:02 P.M.
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x00660034f39297ae103d660a218bcbc88f5f26d21f23dc783ac92ac7ee3d3d95