Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:44:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,000.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 857.33
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
857.33 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
857.34 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
857.34 QI across 3 visible rows
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
Net sender
Unknown type
0.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 857.33 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:43:30 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:44:42 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,000.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:45:54 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
1,700 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:41:07 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
11,150.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:47:05 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:39:56 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:48:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
285.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0001001d5dc1416990e3e009080a3d065d722dbeb2255b6d5be63448629aea26
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:50 P.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
Tx: 0x000e00213e4da78f120bb89cb9bb3649c5f504d5f0150d685a4ba59bec6b303a
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:50 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x005c004cb5ba2a047b43a1b0bdc8b6abb994a1f29ff64ca1e3705b92521caece
286.63 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:48 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00380051e53aab31b11f434304233534a21e37dbefb3f9c7f294a8a06f961fc4
284.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0049002422ad55e72efff5414f81796e8e8c5cb314f3aa2a4053464b641d4e18
