Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:41:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 500
Unexplained QUAI: 1,200
Explained QI: 282.71
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
2
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
1,700 QUAI
282.71 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1700 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3 • 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.
Top actors in this event
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
282.72 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
282.72 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
1,700 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:41:07 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:39:56 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:42:19 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:38:45 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
700 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:37:32 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:43:30 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:44:42 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
100 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:36:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:41:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
282.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:41:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002d00121be2863b6799f438cf0f281b017bdbe3813541fc0f81b2b7183de75d
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:41:01 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
Tx: 0x002b006019bed8bee36d5a454f078a8a3272d0396c5983b928094e93067fdd0e