Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:32:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,692.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,272.74
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,361.03 QUAI
1,272.74 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9361 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (6 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
18,656.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,331 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,325.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,274.74 QI across 6 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
6 repeated flows • 1,272.74 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,325.68 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
2,962.58 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:31:34 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
9,361.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:32:46 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:30:23 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
11,631 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:33:58 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
400 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:29:11 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:35:10 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:27:59 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
100 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:36:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,331 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
259.05 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b004225e06f169af6e5df8a326d281cc1c554ad39bda1e449df69a90707c5
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:59 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
Tx: 0x007c002c3eae55c2f4abc5c6fb80599416466ca305e636b4fc2707e7ae868643
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:59 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x00456A444A71f040e67848d18C79F0AdECd980E7
Tx: 0x003800003dbe12aad69a680cb0523112ba6d4de76b331a29f74b746fbc4f648d
9,331 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:59 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
Tx: 0x00790058448b9f976661592427456eafe39a3999b400537ef3819683b5a167ae
9,325.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:41 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x001500441341d44743c45decb722aa134cbd56b5a8f2f387215383ab6a0806ee
261.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021004145b78085784b407d67ccb7ba8b87eecc1c12b5bb920e6ac927d48da0
268.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005800326afad9511ab6dcfcbd65a1a4a74065abce427ed70e7fd1b72fa41605
241.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00540046b21ac2cdfa4601c7e510fc0efcb48f5e47fe077f0dc3ee0ce7fe1c41
241.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000000786241aab7fde8fd3b26c50a7d640f9efbd81f8993712bc05eba7655d2
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005c0043be1f9bdda2eb5818f3a3751d8a46adfb9b96fd3c726ba900e067d815
35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:03 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x0031B09e63592B713768761cdDACC603974c10bD
Tx: 0x0000003a7e4998392ef68401489704365fd1831431705801ac49671f6441a1f9
0.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:32:03 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x003200450d2ee02c6464c5f1806407247ea85b7c9ce36067d85581be418e6eb6