Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,672.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 469.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
6.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
20,572.2 QUAI
469.49 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20572 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 469.49 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 99.9 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
337.66 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:13:35 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,572.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:14:47 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:12:23 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
1,112.86 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:15:59 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,148.36 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:11:12 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:17:11 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,855.01 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:18:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
234.74 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b0059bff88d08500d2dd556d9bba5a3c2bc7d4239521e1432cb95326416b0
234.74 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0013002741c92a49c05db1f27a6b0f91b01ad72edcb19ce476432ccb7a11242f
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B
Tx: 0x0008003dc1747b137650d8564b0d03f34820aa41474624f71d23563e7eba15a8
99.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:47 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022002d2030cdd8a0ff1dd008010208c1a2d01004df88dda4b1f8402ac61a69
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:25 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00250010041b860316ae8cad42614fd389b679c3862bd9ceccf360f6318b7650
73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:25 P.M.
From: 0x006997bD45e0d3e7012b31f9E2d7a6d33D76aEC2
To: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Tx: 0x005a0040468f02d5d95a2e39b67b2c177cacec75d8400d9f2f8b5995956a3169
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:14:25 P.M.
From: 0x0055723Ed1692F8926e85dCff6975494fD8ec354
To: 0x0071b23D7729B79BCCF451F0E5E14c749BbbF61a
Tx: 0x003500087732b9096193dbe880121c04b3097469b0953797d988b903bc87ec0c