Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:09:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,650.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 262.34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
3.1x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,650.44 QUAI
262.34 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1650 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606Ee2fF3A26B20213906a41aa8CAfCB251237
Net sender
Unknown type
640 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
640 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
262.35 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
876.63 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:08:48 P.M.
-1 min
52 tx
528.68 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:07:35 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,855.01 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,148.36 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:11:12 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:06:23 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:12:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:05:11 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
3,100 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:09:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
262.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:09:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0061003ad217864be4135ab0e8b1f6c985218005f43806a9a1e092867ec8d703
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:09:09 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0035BE9D0b3D9035629Eb0D5EC64Cb502bEB829B
Tx: 0x004c006e88e7a19cbb21c2bdfd8e447807014c60d580ec52365fcd43fe96e881
640 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:09:09 P.M.
From: 0x00606Ee2fF3A26B20213906a41aa8CAfCB251237
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00460067473753660e05ad1eb9fe2f6f859d2e9ce7915707143783affbd649df
10.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:09:09 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0061006bab2bc6f6bf1e3ce6dc2bd7fe057683b885f4c74760af1987229ecbb1