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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:57:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,999.2
Unexplained QUAI: 25,150
Explained QI: 1,231.64
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
53,149.2 QUAI
1,231.64 QI
Avg confidence
80.8%
Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 53149 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (5 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
Net sender
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,231.65 QI across 5 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
5 repeated flows • 1,231.64 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
255.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0045004c11bbd3dacf909ac306e902fc80936d45392ab838ed3d7ff0fe7b73c6
Open txWallet profile
255.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c0030ccbaf7d7eaeb6658b764ce78cb482072777988abae3ab583ce52e700
Open txWallet profile
7,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x006100751595d62c755b30d19bd36c39be5a59e233e49771f229aba5fd1993ca
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0051000e01968255e87e6f9d4abcc3ac08c83d5318932410334fa7e29080da87
Open txWallet profile
257.41 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0024005698d0dbba510979baa969bb9eeb39d535997aa5c61d46d7f27b2515b8
Open txWallet profile
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:17 P.M.
From: 0x007a7b24F2D65cf5d813b0095654DA208eDe7cA9
To: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Tx: 0x0073007046a2a03aa28ac5fe99bcf7f327eb4da51bfd33d600dc4bfe353cf983
231.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a000ed1138794eb707da65c784da263ceed53269e42592debda25291423d5
Open txWallet profile
231.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c005d0ab80872d9f207ab3cf7389493435991a57cacad847f433db6d3655f
Open txWallet profile