Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:57:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,999.2
Unexplained QUAI: 25,150
Explained QI: 1,231.64
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
53,149.2 QUAI
1,231.64 QI
Avg confidence
80.8%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 53149 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (5 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
Net sender
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,231.65 QI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
5 repeated flows • 1,231.64 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
25,060 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:55:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
53,149.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:56:50 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:54:25 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:58:02 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
200 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:53:13 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
18,127.6 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:59:14 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
3,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:52:02 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:00:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
255.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0045004c11bbd3dacf909ac306e902fc80936d45392ab838ed3d7ff0fe7b73c6
255.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c0030ccbaf7d7eaeb6658b764ce78cb482072777988abae3ab583ce52e700
7,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x006100751595d62c755b30d19bd36c39be5a59e233e49771f229aba5fd1993ca
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:40 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0051000e01968255e87e6f9d4abcc3ac08c83d5318932410334fa7e29080da87
257.41 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0024005698d0dbba510979baa969bb9eeb39d535997aa5c61d46d7f27b2515b8
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:17 P.M.
From: 0x007a7b24F2D65cf5d813b0095654DA208eDe7cA9
To: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Tx: 0x0073007046a2a03aa28ac5fe99bcf7f327eb4da51bfd33d600dc4bfe353cf983
231.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a000ed1138794eb707da65c784da263ceed53269e42592debda25291423d5
231.51 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:56:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c005d0ab80872d9f207ab3cf7389493435991a57cacad847f433db6d3655f
