Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:54:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,060
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 514.46
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
514.46 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846 • 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846 • 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
Net sender
Unknown type
25,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
Net receiver
Unknown type
25,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
514.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
514.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
Net sender
Unknown type
60 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 514.46 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:54:25 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
200 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:53:13 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:52:02 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
25,060 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:55:38 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
3,403.74 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:50:50 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate9 tx
53,149.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:56:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:49:39 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:58:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
25,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:54:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
To: 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
254.65 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:54:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a002053dc2e87de4ea7ca6cc875ab7b6b62cc7e02755dc311a6931614b98c
25,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:54:45 P.M.
From: 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
To: 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
Tx: 0x000800468b01da75d36b2bbcc02996cdb253534f01b5f61729e9d09d7844e01d
60 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:54:45 P.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x00070059dcb1973f27b5e133122036a4992f59be00811b26c88cd96947493b8a
259.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:54:32 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c00446f7e3a4b0cf7f2f82a77375b660afdac909fcc87919cacb0636862a3