Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,044.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 524.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
601x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
30,044.68 QUAI
524.11 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30045 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
19,994.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,994.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003bB57923AcA460bcd62f2Fa9E58ef5c115850C
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
524.11 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 524.11 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 19,994.68 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
6,779.19 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:38:52 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
50 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:37:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
30,044.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:40:04 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
4,550 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:41:16 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
14,178.58 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:36:29 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:42:27 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
20,015.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:35:17 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
5,001.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:34:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,994.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
261.32 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006100551daf532a083113a8e119a16991d1661e6b766b4566d05098011dbbec
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:39 P.M.
From: 0x0048dFb3B58E690135a719d4B9241a362aF6fd07
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x002b000f7c3081a9d6ddf45cd85b35f56415a402fd16193a9ba0e7ee2577091d
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:39 P.M.
From: 0x003bB57923AcA460bcd62f2Fa9E58ef5c115850C
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003c0059e534381c8648f397733ee710ddfb328f240b2b2bd9ee5dd0fa381d53
19,994.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:39 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0074eFe24EC0e9c50fC62da6f20fbA0A02Be4a67
Tx: 0x00480035ca10874719c89e35d2bf4d2922353ea2bb5607ff6b1782ab6858ca46
262.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0008006bdd81c5ce8c0508b8e71d766cd1d485725c852651760fd91b10844ab1