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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 3:36:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

71% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 10,001.34

Unexplained QUAI: 4,177.24

Explained QI: 266.86

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

1.5x above local average

0.7x previous minute

284x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

14,178.58 QUAI

266.86 QI

Avg confidence

72.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x003bB57923AcA460bcd62f2Fa9E58ef5c115850C • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 14179 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x003bB57923AcA460bcd62f2Fa9E58ef5c115850C • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x003bB57923AcA460bcd62f2Fa9E58ef5c115850C

Net sender

Unknown type

10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237

Net receiver

Unknown type

10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

266.87 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

266.87 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6

Net sender

Unknown type

1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.