Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:30:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 108.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 282.56
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
50 QUAI
282.56 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 50 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
36.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
13.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
50 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:30:29 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
800 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:29:17 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:28:06 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
58.79 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:31:41 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:26:55 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:32:52 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
5,210.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:25:43 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
5,001.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:34:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:01 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
13.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:42 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002e004dce7bbf3618b9f9db4d933ca4b85c0e394027b03b566f796092f55843
2.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:42 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007200252305b04917cca18319146a0379e8f82a4046eae1f15318479d3273b8
4.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:42 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007000118c9651b4f5bb230b7b23127637327836fb3c9ab7018cd141adb9d6ab
36.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:42 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0051005e460b717e0c3164cd5889d4c17a54357245d8fbf5aafc7cd042044ac5
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:32 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007d0078a0c14f360a2189a707abdf8900bfec6f92a30d1dab233ec3710e2465
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:30:01 P.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x003f003d043a264bc05dc97addac2ded1d431aba755097d71f222602cd62aa4d
