Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:29:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:30:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 300
Unexplained QUAI: 500
Explained QI: 568.6
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
16x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
800 QUAI
568.6 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 800 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
568.61 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
568.61 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 568.6 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
800 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:29:17 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:28:06 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
50 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:30:29 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:26:55 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
5,210.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:25:43 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
58.79 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:31:41 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate26 tx
30,493.66 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:24:30 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:32:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:29:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
282.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:29:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d00014fbe3d22d7362d32ec5d084ff9f3ae95aef783e48e0abb079348be98
286.05 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:29:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0017006db95c142c2ef258a454d686c48f2956415ff28cd2c0ab8eb6b0461c68
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:29:01 P.M.
From: 0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x006b0023b2db511d513206d3e2b4313f84f986993fe6cf776d38b9b246b9b5e6