Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:18:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:19:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,130.23
Unexplained QUAI: 66,623.94
Explained QI: 526.6
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
16x previous minute
22x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
69,754.17 QUAI
526.6 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0000d46e11e627E2cC6d0F8AE4a29D9577b0211e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 69754 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0000d46e11e627E2cC6d0F8AE4a29D9577b0211e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
3,130.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000d46e11e627E2cC6d0F8AE4a29D9577b0211e
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,130.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
526.6 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
526.6 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 526.6 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
69,754.17 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:18:28 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
4,231.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:17:16 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
2,735.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:16:05 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,130.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:19:40 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
55,655.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:14:53 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
74,171.61 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:20:52 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
59,191.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:13:41 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate22 tx
849,476 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:22:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,130.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:18:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0000d46e11e627E2cC6d0F8AE4a29D9577b0211e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
262.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:18:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0052002273319561f928bb13479274c52d1ace54ae88407cf9ba315c3ff09e55
3,130.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:18:40 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0000d46e11e627E2cC6d0F8AE4a29D9577b0211e
Tx: 0x0024006312fb22f4a198fd416e2f64d2cfc97bf97da2fb348797f553c4ed41aa
263.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:18:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0072004e38ecf62be631972cdd4db39df07423a5dc46a3c6948432f0278e4029