Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
6% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,236.5
Unexplained QUAI: 52,419.46
Explained QI: 260.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
55,655.96 QUAI
260.79 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE • 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 55656 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE • 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987.
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 -> 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE
Net sender
Unknown type
1,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Net sender
Unknown type
619.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 → 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
2 repeated flows • 700 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 619.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
59,191.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:13:41 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
55,655.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:14:53 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
55,299.38 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:12:29 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
2,735.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:16:05 P.M.
-3 min
24 tx
2,888.12 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:11:17 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
4,231.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:17:16 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:10:05 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate9 tx
69,754.17 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:18:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,750 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE
To: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Tx: 0x000700699aac2eab94e8dcbb7b51c5283290d52e1dfee253718e1467f3583464
57.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0009004e683b39725664e2fdf5037dcfb6af8cf5f5b42340ab4fac3265df4975
108.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b004e159b5651b52a865ec9c18050c27700481ab839ee743d17b7d5b63850
1,750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
From: 0x007E55FfCD240CD371698aD7E10854289cF3B5CE
To: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Tx: 0x0006005f92501eaffcfe1eb26682b6d1bbc3965e866fb0d4d2fb96fe7539bfcd
619.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:55 P.M.
From: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0069005f86cea485b39f00bc28ab951e58e0f113c5e8bec37e1a1ed8e43bcf00
260.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000900501d8256e52c552d8c605605e2d3a3f69c692f24342787d08e55bfb701
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Tx: 0x001a001672fe795e08eeee94146b3825b34b5b7c68df2a5fbc94f8b8dc3f0415
1.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:14:10 P.M.
From: 0x00499d775E9406FEd6823072c53692344757cC38
To: 0x005cf86b5720b7E383812979403C8b9cC91Bf40a
Tx: 0x005a006f1166632c63902eaa18876c8bd3225164228b9a2a9e73038b37765be7