Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:13:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 114,346.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 508.55
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
59,191.63 QUAI
508.55 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 59192 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
110,307.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
55,154.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006b16E2930a6997F4412d0abF971DCDc90462d5
Net sender
Unknown type
55,152.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,039.11 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 508.55 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
55,299.38 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:12:29 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
59,191.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:13:41 P.M.
-2 min
24 tx
2,888.12 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:11:17 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
55,655.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:14:53 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:10:05 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
2,735.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:16:05 P.M.
-4 min
54 tx
2,040.73 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:08:53 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
4,231.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:17:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
55,154.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
255.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:45 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001f003ac55c30ae6c950b5e1df47d05b970070cfdcc9622b4c2ad22a92ae84d
55,154.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:44 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x0079000f92ddc5f1e8b5001bb75b5c7a7fbd6ac19d2a2777fc4b1abd168a0e47
252.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0003003da7d20571b8e28914a831d1e4152d03f2d2d5c2723ba1c238a086dd36
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:31 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Tx: 0x006e003fc99066cc6493f7f5c98451095ebfe9e8b5aa0e5be19ae1ee19156dcd
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:31 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x00075f21d2400B0b83dd6AD370F7F7E998f25C07
Tx: 0x00290038dd1d29eb0069fc6dbf062958f2da75d13a2acd29d26a597393c01af1
55,152.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:31 P.M.
From: 0x006b16E2930a6997F4412d0abF971DCDc90462d5
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0056004ac62164c7b07d952437ef6565f6a6472918ade8ac75e43d930c8cfe22
620.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002B72B2377FB3B4EaA54CBA6cd13C270Ab32c37
Tx: 0x00640032e2c2a09025c9575b0e6a3c1a153e9c49317c99af0c2315e7a5cafddb
1,000.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x004b0049e167e6112c97e6a8dc9be3d2baecd8b95b477625d2cc9b177567d6f8
418.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:13:20 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Tx: 0x0037001481d0f66b8e0be0df425f8e18894e4d9ead6f4486dbc3cd79d61e67b8