Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:00:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 252.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 587.92
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
103.99 QUAI
587.92 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 104 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
589.93 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
589.93 QI across 3 visible rows
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
88.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
57.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 587.92 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
103.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:28 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
149.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:16 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
224.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:04 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
202.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:01:41 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
163.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:56:53 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
70.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:02:52 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
2,206.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:42 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
276.71 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:04:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
294.56 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
294.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0020005613aef728b803eb3d908d39f026f5ee9d06826168b588d1eaad9bec0d
32.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0041006d82bb951ea9dcc302954e91e56b5b345402982dda0766ccc55d5b121f
57.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000c003090f8b6a2ecc0f187a37e6852a905a13dbb38b0c7707bce188f86e283
24.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002c003276f774a436e6d2e3c5ea95705a26a61445a2478c206bf4e420b46abd
88.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:59 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007300175868ea6c70ae0adc3796bdb5c1dc9919d4e5f6f3958fe587a77fdc8d
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:25 P.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x006a001f73987f22440a600a821254454edf970f7811aaf2f84b7ccfe81843a8
293.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007800415073566e6e9bbc9cfe103c343109713914220ea8664bf3d278ac987a
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:00:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e004ea7d44891f647e024d85f381bce5093a17c94424b8334d1de28b8b79b