Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:58:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 149.33
Unexplained QUAI: 75.18
Explained QI: 886.55
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
224.51 QUAI
886.55 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 225 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
888.55 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
888.55 QI across 4 visible rows
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
86.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
86.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
62.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 886.55 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
224.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:04 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
163.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:56:53 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
149.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:16 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
2,206.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:42 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
103.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:28 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,362.24 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:30 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
202.66 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:01:41 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
105.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
296.73 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:46 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
296.73 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00120019c20bb57944dd0091d8d6f4854d6e09d9fce24ec8b1ba8d674a6160da
293.91 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00060031da42b8ae01d268b3f2f0ca4654e1cb92a19aef8c669780e08fd2dc75
62.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:35 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0058000e9f64a63ea1216c5208034ea7717260b3f201f16bb2cf2a4d91d691c3
86.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:18 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0042003e5d1a3ae5e150ae1e98f18653545d44e264cdc19659081072668f4f7b
295.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000700335723229cd711167386c44b2faa2293128b7b5254643f9ca8cc478675
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006a0027a5972e7a7d2c98ab7abf52e6dddddc6158a3b23cc7c4e0dad8713388