Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:55:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,283.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 298.15
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
21x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
2,206.03 QUAI
298.15 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2206 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
300.15 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
300.15 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
219.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 298.15 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
20,362.24 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:30 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,206.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:42 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
105.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:17 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
163.33 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:56:53 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
265.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:52:06 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
224.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:04 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,499.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:50:54 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
149.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
298.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0003005e270c416f33ebf648af309969eb8d055c393fc0a250bf933c884145d8
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0078001412538c2dfd40c641fe41c84fc142d653c316aa984d15635a7f40ffa9
95.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00639FCa0886Cfd72350A78c8c37D791457c0d7f
Tx: 0x006b002b59cf06a69e047cec5ea9057d3f7bb7257ee70e7281740d4642f99589
64.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:39 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0056003fd8c9e64a73b91f50ed93d5b0e9d7c937682c84e54f0fa79bb0a47f99
124.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
Tx: 0x0015007b7998a1d165b0885f5be751310fe70c55d5b3e1bcdf05ab6dd6126906
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:55:00 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e
Tx: 0x00340022d1fec7df63c7c5b33d1f48bd7a6df7236b0407399b25c756c0deeecf