Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:50:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,583.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 294.36
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,499.75 QUAI
294.36 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cd9dD5aC61Eb59314D1Acc31101a0258f7fDF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1500 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cd9dD5aC61Eb59314D1Acc31101a0258f7fDF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,204.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cd9dD5aC61Eb59314D1Acc31101a0258f7fDF
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,204.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
294.37 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
294.37 QI across 1 visible row
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,204.75 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
20,030.13 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:49:41 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,499.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:50:54 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
2,417.83 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:48:29 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
265.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:52:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
100.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:47:17 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
105.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:17 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
213.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:46:06 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
87.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:44:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,204.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cd9dD5aC61Eb59314D1Acc31101a0258f7fDF
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
52.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:58 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004000376f2eb7fe8599b09e3c92d7720225e466b12231268440e5726c3f2364
31.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:58 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00490069c341de7b2f4f4f8c6b9f66e3a3f77e4e33b07b0b623f1065f0a37ed2
294.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003500265a7a27d8fd070cfcc49147791c86047c29f2530624b586f3176e8b9b
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:06 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x007a0069d19dbd753bc566c5247848267f5b60885d6ff72521b9b801b0f57175
145 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:06 P.M.
From: 0x003E504e3Aa7b9d4f621727F0d0b027eb638527e
To: 0x00735F0fa34E443ca47d6caF72A454e43Ff4d0e4
Tx: 0x0060007e15db09d221efd344961a504840ec91ff586784f924837c0b450b23c9
1,204.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:50:06 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cd9dD5aC61Eb59314D1Acc31101a0258f7fDF
Tx: 0x00060063a229ed1bc39b9a168c4399901d90a50bcbcf06df6c634ebdc0b8fdf9