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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 2:48:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
84% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,022.23
Unexplained QUAI: 395.59
Explained QI: 591.15
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
24x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
6
54.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
2,417.83 QUAI
591.15 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2418 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,906.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,021.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
591.16 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
591.16 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Net receiver
Unknown type
513.76 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 591.15 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 11. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,021.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
296.25 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0022005da77800d2e4009ae4a7048f03d98e7636e51b78665d0858518b55986d
Open txWallet profile
294.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:20 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00030051791ab8f9d71141dc4a523bd3957e037f07a40f18871787de77d265e8
Open txWallet profile
1,021.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
Tx: 0x001100407ea84765b51a14868386759b13e52d136d50218d9aac94d2a17385cb
Open txWallet profile
513.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0049BA9C3bdb618cf62561c8B46fCFF656DD0907
Tx: 0x0051005fdbe823673c113875aaccfb9c5026e9ccada387d137a7f75521d166f2
Open txWallet profile
371.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Tx: 0x00480002bd6ce2895750a0f6f1cd57974196ff780d7b3e5c5f0eb04cfcaeec6d
Open txWallet profile
115.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:48:02 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007e003ffa8809cae9321bac2ffa0836837cf1859b7793eaffa7667df7be2a96