Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:43:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 301,116.31
Unexplained QUAI: 72.8
Explained QI: 632.61
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.1x above local average
13x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
301,189.1 QUAI
632.61 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
critical priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004b55d68528c1AF9E0f2aE0e510269f418c7686.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 301189 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 74
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004b55d68528c1AF9E0f2aE0e510269f418c7686.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
High urgency signal paired with your investigation. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
300,953.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004b55d68528c1AF9E0f2aE0e510269f418c7686
Net receiver
Unknown type
300,953.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
632.62 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
632.62 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
100.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 632.61 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 300,953.71 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
38.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
301,189.1 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:43:43 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
23,408.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:19 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
87.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:44:55 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
15,796.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:07 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
213.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:46:06 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
145.1 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:38:55 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
100.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:47:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300,953.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004b55d68528c1AF9E0f2aE0e510269f418c7686
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
317.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:51 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0065003d743d28247fff38e1eaa11d268953386a5b59c549adc1aa2fef304c2d
61.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:38 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d00271ae8bb3b28e1051eefdd9d7882925f7e77d038f685d8906bd6ff83c5
100.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:38 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000e00325db38fd5a35d54bdb80bd964d6f46825e5f6160abe932e0f625191d5
300,953.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:38 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004b55d68528c1AF9E0f2aE0e510269f418c7686
Tx: 0x0046001779652fa3999a15d50101c36ed3c320a2750b1e44b01d180383a930ca
315.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:31 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b00546b3f3bc3997b3fa244b7fbafad5b07a7848cd64409a1364b48a2077b