Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 288.97
Unexplained QUAI: 15,507.91
Explained QI: 316.48
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
109x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
5
62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
15,796.88 QUAI
316.48 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 15797 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
316.49 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
316.49 QI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
151.7 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Net sender
Unknown type
92.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
15,796.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:07 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
145.1 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:38:55 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
23,408.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:19 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
83.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:37:43 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,020.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:32 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
38.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:31 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
301,189.1 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:43:43 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
48.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
316.48 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:33 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
65.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:45 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003b00711684574c9a1534368ebeb5201b375a9ebb4c86af6dff1f896652dccb
44.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:45 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006900220ddf9657763f26fe1feff298acaca190b7ddcf4accbd9394b249002a
86.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:45 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b0033ef5ac9b80a1522ed670885184c6da231279512ef57bc4cd07509b5b7
92.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:45 P.M.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042001955ac143ef48c13fc46f34c3ea0531bdbd3b4197e604ed3f99b98cf9c
316.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000c006683677a1e2f27d38beac10adc1473ce6cdd6aaf0efdca7e2e84dd6420