Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:39:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,796.88
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 312.47
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
189x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
15,796.88 QUAI
312.47 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00701627E758fe0622010713c2De3de874044D88.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15797 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00701627E758fe0622010713c2De3de874044D88.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
15,700.2 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00701627E758fe0622010713c2De3de874044D88
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
592.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
314.47 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 312.47 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,704.2 QUAI
From exchange: 9,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
145.1 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:38:55 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
83.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:37:43 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
15,796.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:07 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,020.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:32 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
23,408.25 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:19 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
48.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:20 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
38.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:31 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
5,989.43 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:34:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,996 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00701627E758fe0622010713c2De3de874044D88
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
312.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0032006e60a7495b5d3b3d6e77f97f0ec47fc6eef39f0eac8731a8f60e5c964c
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000b003f6b478507d21238f40a122eee3cb59a4f02b0b2f08c0b01ff201ff99f
96.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:28 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00460079899f49b0fadfce5dd6341ba8f65f504c88480dc304d0b883fdadd02c
112.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:28 P.M.
From: 0x0024b763c3Cef4ad9658a9465d044895C8f49314
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0062f2cc8252b53fa1e713b410a02e7e3e53e28f07884fd00a7803b2637c
4,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:28 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e003c5f55879c020dcb623d507da6ae706b24d09579d1292af96eac40fded
592.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:28 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b004db0b22341408cf4e6b128919ced6d1503ae2a39067bcc3a4fded22252
9,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00701627E758fe0622010713c2De3de874044D88
Tx: 0x003a001c0aff772aab2eb41465c8c7e622c2c8d0c0046fbf2ee5ef2b3536fb56