Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:33:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,881.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 590.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
59x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
5,881.24 QUAI
590.02 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5881 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,593.55 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net receiver
Unknown type
593.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
590.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
590.02 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 590.02 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate7 tx
20,229 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:32:56 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
100.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:31:45 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
5,989.43 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:34:08 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
57.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:30:33 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
48.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:20 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
163.32 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:29:21 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1,020.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:32 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
111.04 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:28:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
296.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:51 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c006e35f20478a9bfb82bcbb85192aa44088eae861626f035f771c1a02b30
293.43 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002400120dc9024b6ef2c53870a57bc37a155f5a42a004aed3c2b0a5c22aea23
26.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007400424a819ab5e957894313202c6620e5efd3f5fc543f7c510daddab2d7e4
51.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0037002718aca1e87d12a6c819986cd8ad3f33a54d8cc1b40d0fb32b3de0986c
89.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00390001dfef948b68a6cfdb3cc50aa62dfc221dbbce6eb4ad2cb338193e2b6d
593.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x0072003fae2bf3d6471ed610057b313a4b5d3b4aa2b3b8ca68ce70cd8a10e7a8
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x00250019097e0e6f3ba8a490c00d299c9adcb34d4d23abe074c7733bee9b356b
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:33:01 P.M.
From: 0x0067E6Ae1DA26583316F4eeECe047A677E6DDb38
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x004e006ac00eb8f97793ba2a842a7aa636dbac5ea58ae920e9e0eb65250d6794