Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 94.91
Unexplained QUAI: 321.01
Explained QI: 305.55
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
4
44.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
415.92 QUAI
305.55 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: utxo-shape
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 416 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: utxo-shape
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source utxo-shape
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: utxo-shape • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
309.55 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
309.55 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
94.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 305.55 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
339.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:13:45 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
260.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:12:34 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
415.92 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:14:56 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
192,186.2 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:16:09 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
146.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:11:22 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
57,098.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:17:21 P.M.
-4 min
12 tx
1,359.65 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:10:10 P.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,330.83 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:08:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
305.55 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:14:04 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
94.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:14:51 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Tx: 0x0026006f19249ce2e19eed6be7ba5ad8b12e52ef4633f9ab4d76c29732ad0ae6
305.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:14:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c002ca1e144c6d863a77b6c0b011707c987a388dce156793902b75d325c91
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:14:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0008001074c3e737ad788ce9eb29a38dbbcccae4113d88886e0b73f2c1fdbb6e
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:14:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00380045f5a5ca622bf99d098b5b6238b52e99eefb516f2b0ec0ea86f4d30775