Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:02:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 173.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 321.04
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
173.41 QUAI
321.04 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 173 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
325.05 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
325.05 QI across 3 visible rows
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
173.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
117.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
55.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 321.04 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
454.48 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:01:44 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
100 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:00:32 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
173.41 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:02:57 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
207.73 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:04:09 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate10 tx
6,118.08 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:59:21 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
44.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:05:21 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
37.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:58:08 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
87.96 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:56:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
321.04 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:33 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
55.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x004a0033f7ce0b239f61bb0466072355e8ea1e443eeafb97255eaab7cf368176
117.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0027006e6e43f59a9ba1f259112f759c23b048eaa9f1b8eae3184d6d0d8863ae
321.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007800645c53b76fd2e648e700caeaa1c1663c643df8919f1881c01ce35e67d9
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e003f7ab9158409f6e22036dbbcb669d591ac54bd3bf7e4ae61c1861d71cb
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:02:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c006e9f908c109573d29d7c2ffb509eeb8e050d93b71701633bbe7f9a8a2e