Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:36:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 108.47
Unexplained QUAI: 6,210.3
Explained QI: 698.54
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
40x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
6,318.77 QUAI
698.54 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 6319 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
698.55 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
698.55 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
58.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
50.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 698.54 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
158.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:35:23 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
6,318.77 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:36:35 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
6,612.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:34:10 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
223.8 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:37:47 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
104.04 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:32:58 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
141.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:38:59 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
179.75 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:31:46 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
118.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:40:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
351.24 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:03 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
50.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:58 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d002a6109693a7716bf604a59f73b449f5efe8885bb3552da331708e5fc5b
58.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:58 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d006fbd2251c3760b88dcd716a71a28217c52dfd2f640bf79874d4eaf612b
347.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:43 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007d002e95cb50aa6d42de4d4d356d8d06e129d0c97d601ce71bfbc64b78629b
351.24 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005300425e45c07d2bdc3012bfa2eb061befd06554b5c757e7c75eb3029a4e3f
