Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:32:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.44
Unexplained QUAI: 53.59
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 344.55
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
104.04 QUAI
344.55 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 104 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
50.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
179.75 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:31:46 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,084.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:30:35 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
104.04 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:32:58 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
6,612.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:34:10 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
51.47 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:29:24 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
158.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:35:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
99.05 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:28:12 P.M.
-5 min
8 tx
454.94 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
353.13 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:33:00 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
50.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:32:27 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0028001419bc3f26f2835caca39c3586e064e27ec8b2ff8adbd79c59c1d09244