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QuaiWhale
Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 1:15:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 1:15:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,195.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 705.31
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,818.77 QUAI
705.31 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1819 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,549.58 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002c1fF600793C945BCc9Ad71638d66C984F0149
Net sender
Unknown type
1,137.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
707.31 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
707.31 QI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 705.31 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,549.58 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.05 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

12 transactions
352.35 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000b003a7145335a19c257d846aae6459076cecb2b1f038288f8d98a75ef824f
Open txWallet profile
40.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:49 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0071006ebbf50fa756149d2476e92e328610fdd2ef72fc6251b4360f6bbb72c0
112.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f007ede6daedf69c7115e456b77fa06d5a4c58ef8b0fbe0ea4ddca8bb0273
Open txWallet profile
1,137.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x002c1fF600793C945BCc9Ad71638d66C984F0149
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0017c248def8513ffad00057e65c0f0753cf9599d370f268612e97be64e4
Open txWallet profile
101.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034000f8a05f1515ba0f87a4e3d381264dfc31290f1527eab962c46ade1f70a
Open txWallet profile
99.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x00198eb2E8fE856C82A8B2537C1217370BD465a6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062007957edbfe4029a640be16567c4bac112f61fc44a35c3520872eb818c8a
Open txWallet profile
100.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x00174696e81aedE1174838Cce2079DB4d6C4DCB7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004300078b0e11ae9aaaef0dbf0d49a040d2f340601bd5ab598dd241bd273de3
Open txWallet profile
19,998.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f007dc10d95cf3899369bcaba6bea08258ff47eb509f610653a3dd604c598
Open txWallet profile
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:30 P.M.
From: 0x005FF0a274C30A6e5Fb05ecb4d045A0f028fC1B2
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x005c00296a79ee600f8ae5d4bc0e5835e1231f6e2844c39f369dfc2a1b148bb7
352.95 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a004966c1714798cc413c277342af318394e5809f956df623e8a0233fffcf
Open txWallet profile
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e0073cd63ae091223dc64058ba0f97179508de83070d018a3bcc09ad0dcb7
Open txWallet profile
105.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:15:01 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0021006759c61bc36e4b9ad1039e6d5197d794aed3069171911411e72e3605dd