Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,664.46
Unexplained QUAI: 100
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 361.13
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
6.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
7
77.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
3,764.46 QUAI
361.13 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 3764 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A • 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,100 QUAI across 3 visible rows
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,461.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c1fF600793C945BCc9Ad71638d66C984F0149
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,148.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
266.47 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:12:38 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,764.46 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:13:50 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
558.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:11:26 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,818.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:15:02 P.M.
-3 min
9 tx
20,340.28 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:10:15 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate12 tx
22,195.21 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:16:14 P.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,091.91 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:09:03 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
155.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:17:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,148.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002c1fF600793C945BCc9Ad71638d66C984F0149
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:39 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x000b00160b8dc3efdd00300de55288304c8d8b80557acaa93d6f36146186b5d8
101.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:39 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0052002579771aea51a729e7734361501b4c24719caab55f68df41aa7f0ed32c
1.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:39 P.M.
From: 0x003B61739Dc36317d73338BC81169C9B36138C7c
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002000019c9780c706ac0832fc80d7258d655fd700e3dc3d50839606ac45f3f8
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:39 P.M.
From: 0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x00100003e6a0466c64ce6c31f7e757d3469d697bc31dbf8a19751e248b70baa2
1,148.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:02 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002c1fF600793C945BCc9Ad71638d66C984F0149
Tx: 0x0050001227120de6398aa101b7bde09dcd1a21c8d97937057c59b10049f95211
312.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:02 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Tx: 0x00310075d252f1d38690ba8b571b5f2315da32b7d995b7ec040ad1f479f4efa8
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x00710048b61a542139b10255cdb9a9ba2b6707d3775ef8307cb9f394020bcca3
