Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:12:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 105.36
Unexplained QUAI: 161.11
Explained QI: 725.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
266.47 QUAI
725.02 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 266 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
725.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
725.02 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
5.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 725.02 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
11 tx
558.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:11:26 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
266.47 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:12:38 P.M.
-2 min
9 tx
20,340.28 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:10:15 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
3,764.46 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:13:50 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,091.91 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:09:03 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,818.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:15:02 P.M.
-4 min
56 tx
827.77 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:07:50 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate12 tx
22,195.21 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:16:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:13:00 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
361.12 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0071001f061a858fb7e9b82852b6d19d830636a7bec559bf15024c1bd71fd302
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:44 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x007e149a2841028376c4A4732B3b620D1c3D332A
Tx: 0x00050057e42d34bad61397bb899d4db2deea6a464108571c47c3d47e70b6cbf1
363.89 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0063002b3429c4ae783be41d780e94c843305ce2e578b8779d241769f5499cc9
5.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:04 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00170038120899dc0bf7cc3d00c8fd9a488add34170bb09119b8f6d2fa307847