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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 1:09:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,340.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 719.67
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
9
17.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
53
Asset volume
1,091.91 QUAI
719.67 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1092 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
719.68 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
719.68 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
205.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 719.67 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 51. The remaining 42 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.17 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
29.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0044001705a39a9946baa46c5e539d7a9b3c3f328c95354facad1a5a1a97a1f0
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x0002449E2f1AB52701817dcA2CBF76eBE3C11479
To: 0x001AF1BbB40807fcb99C9Eeaa49dF5E91e7Efd42
Tx: 0x00510079d14a1b3d89af7d4e78f1b7aa7387073451abdc9a4df7f113b2254e73
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x005a002511def1e033acc12db9cde441e7b78d1d15e34e013ce7037710aa768f
359.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e000280c8838d5f403a827c70afcbb15121b2b521c28a276d6feee16621b1
Open txWallet profile
108.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0051003296e7c7586b2e7333f00ad238b8f3f7294d65c7b367e9765e5f125048
91.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0017004e193d2e76c2eae9b86ee1a211e11bd938ed714121a6d32aed97d1d087
9.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0012003460a666cb58c1de0272737526754832801854cf8a1529179c4c9eaea6
359.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:23 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000500580a2b977973b4be24832a1862e244158eb87c6e061829a42d66912bad
Open txWallet profile
96.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:09:01 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000f00153c669e47e520ba23ac5635e4440aebf29ade2ec6789be0a5db7b8514