Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:04:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 180.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 706.4
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
706.4 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
154.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
112.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
41.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
25.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:04:15 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
384.48 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:03:04 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
180.02 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:05:27 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
238.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:01:51 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
103.83 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:00:40 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
10.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:06:38 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate56 tx
827.77 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:07:50 P.M.
-5 min
10 tx
413.48 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:59:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:04:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
25.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:04:49 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x002f000b336e7cbd9680746d230e244c5e0a73a8f268d10878b38359d0f9c85d
112.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:04:32 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00000003fc1125d56d132fcd771f20a9ca92ac91e744644fcadb55c715a97d2d
41.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:04:32 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000f0051862a77fd37f2a191d2f5c23b5d66033f6cdc1b7bd0102c3685d75dd4