Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:35:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,243.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 359.03
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
457x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
20,135.89 QUAI
359.03 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20136 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
361.04 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
361.04 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
119.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 359.03 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
44.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:34:27 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,135.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:35:39 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
5,262.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:33:15 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
8,401.07 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:36:51 P.M.
-3 min
11 tx
858.17 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:32:04 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:38:02 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
134.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:30:52 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
165.31 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:39:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
359.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0010005c890ef861405f657613e292d44e982966a41021919451232e9abb9f35
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0075005c5f4e9659bee0150dc7f9a08d0ca45274a6149a5ef9d56a5a656f5cc8
107.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:42 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0035002a6669545c652762738ba08bac70f64988326b0e143fa43fc3d2cd6e13
101.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:17 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0036007411d79e6ebae0a7a221b9ab5a790bad0977783cd5cb8d0aad1b818d9b
16.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:17 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00650029d50d446f49648d04f39c8f5f0baaf054554dd3f37580ced39f1b3202
18.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:17 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00740002ecb73e07db663bb0015acb0d9df822a182dd4e36d7093f4771897709
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:35:17 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0057006cb6fb32a9b93dcccdd88bd5da97dc59be0d6bbb574d22f0298a6d3a94