Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:31:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 858.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 346.45
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
858.17 QUAI
346.45 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 858 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
644.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
Net sender
Unknown type
501.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
348.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
348.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
126.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 346.45 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
134.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:30:52 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:29:39 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
858.17 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:32:04 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
5,262.28 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:33:15 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
184.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:28:22 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
44.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:34:27 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
61.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:27:11 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
410.76 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:25:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
501.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x004B84f0eA652aa4d4DF44aE2e2c5186bc105148
Tx: 0x0035004ef3cfb9d9b1978aed7998a34d9233ce334bb15ea31451d6a532269a38
0.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x006700078aba77c18414023a2a04a40c316a8e7f0c11bfaf2d1d55bd8b0fa766
41.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005b003dc906e07f80778c1e2f129a3653e5245194f9f705aea34259fca954c1
58.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000300669bd5f4a632b5246c9ab8ffedfda7ef5b30372896514c4f53ec7d7f0c
67.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0068000841805cb596b22f1db7386c52cdedc5ae92779fa73e482d392de4b4a6
104.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f0016fa0d7189d97aa38c4db92358a9f72d1d36a49996e1b5b1aa8cb3b200
501.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0069003b6541cbf9cf21a18566a148b0ee638f1ef420648cfc21fc5b62cf40d7
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0041007e0016004c3fbc3b1ba0f154ce25b9d46befab04fc57638a17cc04a090
39.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:50 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b001e02a63759b3b05be4bfa50763d9acf0d92276407bf13e6a95f5f836b2
346.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001f007ec943ee8e9ee67da5c6bf3824efab8ffe89a186671b3470166d6682ab
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:31:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c0018d173186259cba559f8f0a429057fc133c5cfdd6a90f2e708cfbaa127