Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 71.54
Unexplained QUAI: 8,867.72
Explained QI: 340.27
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
8,939.26 QUAI
340.27 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 8939 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
340.27 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
340.27 QI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.54 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
55.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
16.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
8,810.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:22:23 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
8,939.26 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:23:36 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
20,136.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:21:12 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:24:47 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
112.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
410.76 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:25:59 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
925.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
61.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:27:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
340.27 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:23:06 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
55.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:23:14 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000e0052001f558ddd2481e54a07e563c6259da6dbc4430e5a46e59c65288209
340.27 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:23:06 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c0028880fe262a8dc980f2cefcb2a378cbc8db5c096bd88ed9d7ff9cf6b71
16.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:23:05 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0041007515679877aa48235b489db54de480fc1113d991c73a4457a9eb979265
