Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:22:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,677.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 687.58
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
8,810.22 QUAI
687.58 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8810 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
17,430.85 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,721 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
8,709.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
687.59 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
687.59 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 687.58 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 8,709.85 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
8,810.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:22:23 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
20,136.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:21:12 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
112.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
8,939.26 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:23:36 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
925.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:24:47 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
486.74 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
410.76 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:25:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,721 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
37.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0031000b928df964fde2ab8ac25b21e334575749e4366e662381cc02134cc258
23.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00320024213c2e96ad1849644dbcaf7ef2e0845db529a5f8e6f7e0803c39b2b1
44.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005300353ccdf3fde087e0e43e1b60d82586bf1a5e029d1d8634037c088a6f1c
41.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006500233047a93f7fced0c8f84832b23f767e00d3cdb46677e032ce6e0a7044
8,721 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:39 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x000DdcC66cBc7839d606Ac7193E96274828b47e7
Tx: 0x0063003a87174a2c4198910cdabf6d2c0614538e674ba9b3f8133e8a617dd0ab
343.26 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005300266ef65f8c76718d89be2b5b0cd24fcb2e0c1815713a9ce623bc764da2
100.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:13 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d000356b7bc7efe31712036050dc442ae2671e6f0958ede0f810c541402a4
8,709.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:13 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x001700074e9660a6941d39024b97b0e3c91cbffa771f53f1cc9de9f8ee971de4
344.32 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:22:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0029001bd216ed4889855ee9ee819eff7612d92d60cbbcc4fef527869670ee85
